Phillies at Yankees Odds - 2009 World Series Game 6
For the first time since 2003, World Series odds will be going at least six games as the Phillies and Yankees head back to New York on Wednesday at 7:57pm EST on FOX with the Yankees holding a 3-2 series lead. The Phillies were able to power their way to an 8-6 win in game 5 on Monday and now will try and force a game 7 on Thursday. The last time World Series odds went seven games was in 2002 when the Angels beat the Giants. New York is a -210 favorite in MLB World Series odds for game 6 with a total of 9 OVER -120 at online sportsbooks.
Andy Pettitte gets the start for New York on three days' rest while the Phillies turn to Pedro Martinez. It will be the first time the Pettitte has pitched on short notice since September 30, 2006. "Physically, for me, it obviously is a little concern, just seeing how my body is going to feel on that short rest," Pettitte said. During the 2009 postseason, Pettitte has gone 3-0 in Yankees odds and has 17 wins giving him more than any pitcher in MLB history as he tries to win New York their 27th title. Bet the Yankees -210 at home in 2009 World Series odds for game 6.
Martinez allowed three runs in six innings in a 3-1 loss to the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium in game 2 of the 2009 World Series and will be pitching on five days' rest. This will be a homecoming of sorts for Pedro who is very familiar with the Yankees in the postseason going 1-3 for seven appearances. In total postseason starts, Martinez has gone 6-3 in 15 appearances with a 3.22 ERA. The Yankees won't be taking any chances Wednesday night with Pedro on the mound and even Pettitte is cautioning New York. "His changeup that used to be like 87, 88 mph is 75 now, but it's still just as effective," he said. "A good pitch is a good pitch. If you change speeds and location, you'll continue to get guys out." Phillies center fielder Shane Victorino is expected to be back in the line-up for World Series odds after being hit by A.J. Burnett with a 93 mph fastball in the first inning of game 5.
Gordon's 2009 World Series Picks: Although the Yankees are heavily favored to win game 6 I'm just not convinced that Pettitte will still have the same stuff in the tank on short rest and after Philadelphia seemed to find their bats against Burnett in game 5. My pick for game 6 of the 2009 World Series tonight on FOX is to take the Phillies +175 on the road to the OVER in a 2-team parlay at BetUS. Vegas odds at Caesars sportsbook have the Yankees -200 favorites against the Phillies +170 with a betting total of 9 OVER -12.
Phillies at Yankees World Series Odds and Betting Trends
The Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games. The Phillies are 9-3 in their last 12 games as a road underdog. The Phillies are 37-18 in their last 55 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Phillies are 8-3 in Martinez's last 11 starts. The Yankees are 6-1 in Worlds Series odds for their last 7 playoff home games. Yankees odds have them 42-11 in their last 53 home games overall. The Yankees are 9-3 in their last 12 World Series home games. The Yankees are 42-14 in their last 56 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Yankees are 11-4 in Pettitte's last 15 starts. The Over is 5-1 in the Phillies last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Over is 8-2 in the Phillies last 10 road games. The Under is 5-2 in Martinez's last 7 starts overall. The Under is 6-0-1 in the Yankees last 7 playoff home games. The Under is 35-17-3 in the Yankees last 55 home games. The Under is 10-3 in Yankee odds for Pettitte's last 13 home starts.
(c) Vegassports-odds.com - All Rights Reserved.
MLB World Series betting --- Yankees Fall 6-1 in Series Opener
The World Series is under way and the Yankees are already facing an uphill struggle after being crushed 6-1 in the opening game of the series. New York were favourites for the series at -175 (bet $175 to win $100 profit), making the Phillies underdogs at +190 (bet $100 to win $190 profit). However, the defending champions have seen their odds slashed after their triumph and are now only very minor underdogs at +100 to New York's -115.
The Yankees are favourites for the next game in the series, held on the 29th of October, despite their thrashing and the fact that home advantage did not seem to help them last time, at -180. Philadelphia may be good value at +179 if the last contest was anything to go by.
New York pitcher CC Sabathia had an evening to forget on the biggest stage of his career. The twenty-nine year-old Californian was tied for the most wins in the league in the regular season with nineteen but last night added a loss to his statstics after two misplaced pitches to the Phillies' Chase Utley, who sent them away for solo home runs. Sabathia is 6/1 to be series MVP and Utley is 12/1.
Alex Rodriguez is joint-favourite to be series MVP, also at 6/1, ahead of the Phillies' Ryan Howard at 9/1, Yankees legend Derek Jeter at 10/1 and Cliff Lee, who recorded a win in game one, at 11/1.
(c) 2009 Live Odds and Lines v2.
MLB Playoffs Odds Game 5 - Dodgers at Phillies
The Philadelphia Phillies will try and clinch the National League Championship Series on Wednesday at 8:07pm EST on TBS as they host the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 5 of MLB playoffs odds. The Dodgers blew Game 4 on Monday as closer Jonathan Broxton gave up two runs in the 9th to lose the game and put the Dodgers in a huge hole down three games to one. Game 5 MLB playoffs odds favor the Phillies and pitcher Cole Hamels on Wednesday against the Dodgers and pitcher Vicente Padilla. Philadelphia is a -145 favorite with a total of 8.5 at online sportsbooks.
The Phillies will be giving the ball to Hamels as they look to close out the series. He has not pitched that well this season even though he got the win in game 1 of MLB playoffs in this series. He allowed four runs in 5 1/3 innings. "It's a new year -- I've gone through different and new struggles, different successes," Hamels said, "I think when you start putting those thoughts in your head, you put more added pressure, because last year in those same situations, I wasn't thinking about that." The Phillies can become the first team since the 1995-96 Braves to win two straight National League titles in the MLB playoffs. Bet the Phillies -145 in game 5 of the NLCS championship.
The Dodgers will go with Vicente Padilla in this must-win game. He has been the best pitcher for Los Angeles in the MLB playoffs. He allowed just one run in 7 1/3 innings against the Phillies in Game 2. He has not lost a decision since coming to the Dodgers. There are only two teams in National League Championship game history that have blown 3-1 leads in MLB playoffs odds so history is against the Dodgers. The Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog. The Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff road games. The Dodgers are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Dodgers are 4-0 in Padilla's last 4 starts. The Dodgers are 10-25 in the last 35 meetings in Philadelphia.
The Phillies -145 in 2009 MLB playoffs odds against the Dodgers with a total of 8.5 OVER -110.
The Phillies are 4-0 in MLB playoffs odds for their last 4 League Championship home games. The Phillies are 33-12 in their last 45 games as a home favorite. The Phillies are 1-4 in Hamels' last 5 starts. The Phillies are 5-1 in Hamels' last 6 starts vs. the Dodgers. The Over is 6-1 in the Dodgers last 7 games as an underdog. The Over is 8-3 in the Dodgers last 11 road games. The Over is 8-3-2 in the Dodgers last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Over is 5-1-1 in the Phillies last 7 games in MLB playoffs odds. The Over is 11-3-2 in the Phillies last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 6-2-2 in the Phillies last 10 home games. The Under is 4-1-1 in Hamels' last 6 home starts. The Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia between the two teams.
Lanning's MLB Playoffs Picks: I see the Phillies gaining momentum in the playoffs and with Hamels pitching at home, how can you go wrong? My MLB pick for Game 5 of the NLCS between Philadelphia and Los Angeles will be to take Phillies -145 at home to the OVER in a 2-team parlay at BetUS. Vegas odds at Caesars sportsbook have the Phillies -145 favorites against the Dodgers +130 with a betting total of 8.5 OVER -115.
(c) Vegassports-odds.com - All Rights Reserved.
2009 World Series Predictions: ALCS & NLCS Betting Odds
2009 World Series Predictions - ALCS & NLCS Betting Odds: The Philadelphia Phillies took the MLB picks series win over the Colorado Rockies with 3 of 4 MLB picks wins and are now one MLB betting odds series away from the 2009 World Series. Now the Phillies are a prime MLB pick as they head to Los Angeles to take on the LA Dodgers. The MLB odds makers currently list the LA Dodgers as the -115 MLB betting odds favorite and have set the total for the opening NLCS MLB picks matchup to 7 1/2( ov-105).
Game 4 of the MLB predictions series was a close MLB picks matchup as the Colorado Rockies attempted to rally in the 8th going ahead 4-2 but the Phillies managed to comeback in the ninth to defeat the Colorado Rockies 5-4 on Monday to head to the NLCS to face the Dodgers for the second consecutive season. The LA Dodgers are coming off a 3 game MLB picks series sweep over the St. Louis Cardinals and Vincene Padilla closed down the Cardinals.
The ALCS MLB picks matchup will feature the Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees and both offenses have dominated in the 2009 MLB Picks season. The Angels set a franchise record for run scored in 2009 but the New York Yankees may trump the Angels with an even better 2009 performance. The American League Championship betting odds series first pitch is set for Friday at 8:05PM. The MLB odds makers have listed the New York Yankees as the -170 betting odds favorite and have set the MLB odds total to 8 1/2( ov-120).
(c) 2004-2009 Online Sports Handicapping "All Rights Reserved".
Sox at Angels
Anaheim, CA - It's still not a good idea to ask Kevin Youkilis and the Red Sox about jinxes, even when it seems Boston is holding one heck of a hex over the Los Angeles Angels.
``We don't believe in curses,'' Youkilis said. ``We never believed there was a curse in Boston. I don't believe there's a hex (on the Angels). It's just two teams going at it.''
Yet even Boston's slugging first baseman realizes it's tough to find an adequate explanation for Boston's playoff domination of the Angels, which began nearly a quarter-century ago with one of the worst collapses in postseason history.
Oddsmakers from online sportsbook Sports Interaction have made the Red Sox -110 moneyline favorites for Thursday's game against the Angels. Current MLB Public Betting Information shows that 61% of more than 285 bets for this game have been placed on the Angels +100.
When the clubs open their third consecutive first-round series Thursday night, AL West champion Los Angeles will take another crack at wild card-winning Boston, the once-bedeviled franchise that has ended three of the Angels' past five seasons.
And it hasn't even been close. The Angels have lost 12 of their last 13 postseason games against the Red Sox, including 9 of 10 over the last three series. Los Angeles hasn't even led Boston for eight total innings of those last 10 games, and the Angels' only win was a 12-inning nail-biter last season, snapping an 11-game losing streak in the matchup.
``Last year was last year,'' snapped a smiling Torii Hunter, the Angels' leader and most gregarious player. ``I don't want to talk about last year. You can if you want, but I don't give a damn about last year.''
Player turnover and year-to-year injuries make most comparisons silly, yet as recently as three weeks ago, Hunter chastised his teammates for playing nervously against the Red Sox at Fenway Park. Los Angeles won the season series 5-4, but six of those games were played in the season's first six weeks, before either team really got itself together for another playoff run.
Angels manager Mike Scioscia takes pleasure in debunking baseball conspiracy theories, and he doesn't believe there's anything special about the stark statistics his club has compiled against Boston.
``I don't think there is anything, really, to go back and analyze,'' said Scioscia, the first manager to take a team to the playoffs six times in his first 10 seasons. ``It's a whole new set of variables, a whole new set of matchups. We know what the challenge is.''
The clubs first met in the 1986 AL championship series - ``before a lot of our guys were born,'' Scioscia says. After the Angels got within one strike of a series-clinching victory in Game 5, Dave Henderson hit his long-remembered go-ahead homer in the ninth inning as Boston erased the Angels' three-run lead.
In 2004, the Sox sent the Angels packing in a first-round sweep on the way to their World Series title. John Lackey didn't pitch in that series, but the Angels' starter on Thursday night doesn't believe anything took root in his club that year.
``It's a definite challenge, but it's a new year,'' Lackey said. ``I'm one of the few guys that have been here for all of them. It was different pretty much every year.''
Boston is responsible for a large chunk of Los Angeles' postseason woes, but not everything. The Angels have lost six straight home postseason games - all to teams named after hosiery, including three losses to the White Sox in the 2005 ALCS - and nine of 11 since winning the 2002 World Series.
When Jon Lester takes the mound against Lackey in Game 1, he'll be thinking more about the Angels' surging lineup than their history. Los Angeles set franchise records for runs (883), RBIs (841) and hits (1,604) with a lineup that featured nine .300 hitters as recently as mid-August.
The Angels haven't been immune to slumps, but Scioscia thinks his lineup is deeper than it's ever been. After managing just eight runs in their three losses to Boston last season, the Angels believe they're better equipped to come through in October.
Yet the Red Sox hold the knowledge they can beat the Angels in the postseason - something that matters to Lester, if not to Youkilis.
``I guess it's just an added confidence'' that Boston has against the Angels, Lester said. ``I wouldn't say that in an arrogant way, but we know we've played this team well, and they play us tough. It's just that comfort level of knowing if we get in a bind, we've done it before. You just draw from that past experience.''
Aside from the looming recent history, the clubs are remarkably well matched. Both feature solid four-man starting rotations and deep lineups featuring both power and patience at the plate, allowing both managers to be creative with lineups and pinch-hitting opportunities.
Speed on the bases also is expected to pop into prominence during the series. Both clubs are among the AL's most active on the basepaths, with Jacoby Ellsbury's 70 stolen bases for Boston contrasting with the Angels' 148 team steals.
Yet in close games, a key difference could show through. The Red Sox should be able to rely on what's been a superior bullpen this season, with Billy Wagner and Daniel Bard setting up closer Jonathan Papelbon. The Red Sox also can count on Takashi Saito, Ramon Ramirez and Hideki Okajima.
The Angels' bullpen has been springing leaks since April, and not every hole is yet filled.
Although new closer Brian Fuentes led the majors with 48 saves, he's been roundly booed more than once at Angel Stadium for occasional inconsistencies. His setup men are a mixed bag, some young (rookie Kevin Jepsen), some sore (Jason Bulger, who had a cortisone shot Sunday) and some pitching better than anybody expected (39-year-old veteran Darren Oliver and 11-game winner Matt Palmer).
Although the Angels won 97 games and its third straight division title, they're still three tough-to-get victories away from really having something to celebrate.
``Whatever you do during the season doesn't matter in the postseason,'' Hunter said. ``This is my sixth postseason, and I know that. ... It's not about history or division titles or who has more rings. It's about who wants it more.''
(c) 1999-2009 TheSpread.com Inc.
MLB Betting Preview Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels
With the AL West title in hand, the Los Angeles Angels (93-64 SU, 86-70 RL, 82-68-6 O/U) will look to stay on a roll as the approaches when they host the Texas Rangers (85-72 SU, 82-75 RL, 58-91-8 O/U) at Angel Stadium tonight at 10 PM ET.
Mike Napoli drove in a pair of runs to lead the Angels past the Rangers 5-2 on Tuesday night and help L.A. cash in for BetUS MLB sports betting members as -125 home favorites while the game's seven total runs played Under the 8.5-run O/U total.
Bobby Abreu went 2-for-3 with a solo jack for the Angels while David Murphy went 2-for-4 with a homer for Texas in a losing effort.
Tonight, the Rangers will hand the ball to right-hander Derek Holland (8-12, 6.14 ERA) while the Angels counter with right-hander Matt Palmer (15-8, 3.85 ERA).
Here is a look at tonight's key trends and MLB Odds, followed by my in-depth analysis and expert MLB Free Picks.
Rangers are 5- 11 in their last 16 overall.
Rangers are 1- 4 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Rangers are 1- 4 in their last 5 road games.
Rangers are 1- 5 in Holland's last 6 starts.
Angels are 7- 2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Angels are 21- 7 in their last 28 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Angels are 6- 1 in Palmer's last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Angels are 10- 2 in Palmer's last 12 starts.
Under is 5- 2 in the last 7 meetings.
Rangers are 1- 4 in the last 5 meetings.
MLB Odds
Texas Rangers +1 1/2 -165
Derek Holland -L +120
Los Angeles Angels -1 1/2 +145
Matt Palmer -R -140
Over 10 +105
Under 10 -125
Derek Holland has gone 1-2 over his last three starts with a 7.56 ERA while Matt Palmer has gone 2-1 over his last three starts with a 8.59 ERA.
Analysis: I like the Los Angeles Angels to take tonight's contest and extend their three-game winning streak over a Rangers ballclub that is struggling to close out the regular season on a positive note -- and this game's key trends suggest an emphatic Angels' victory.
The Texas Rangers have gone just 5- 11 in their last 16 games overall while also going 1- 4 in their last five games against AL West ballclubs and an identical 1- 4 in their last five road games.
The Los Angeles Angels are the correct pick in this contest as they've gone a blistering 7- 2 in their last nine home games against a team with a winning record and a bankroll-boosting 21- 7 in their last 28 games against a left-handed starter.
While the Texas Rangers have gone a discouraging 1- 5 in Derek Holland's last six starts, the Angels have gone an impressive 6- 1 in Matt Palmer's last seven starts against a team with a winning record and a bankroll-boosting 10- 2 in Palmer's last 12 starts overall.
Take the Angels for the emphatic win tonight BetUS MLB betting members.
MLB Free Picks: Angels -1 1/2 Runs
(c) 1994-2009 BetUS.com. All Rights Reserved.
Mariners at Jays
Toronto, Ontario - Felix Hernandez won't help the Seattle Mariners reach the playoffs, but he may still help himself to a major postseason award.
The AL Cy Young Award hopeful looks for a fifth straight victory when the Mariners open a four-game road series with the Toronto Blue Jays on Thursday night.
With Erik Bedard injured and Jarrod Washburn now with Detroit, the 23-year-old Hernandez (16-5, 2.45 ERA) has become the ace of a Seattle staff that leads the majors with 3.91 ERA.
Hernandez, who's already set a career high for wins and will do the same as he makes his 32nd start, is second in the AL in ERA and tied for third in wins.
Oddsmakers from online sportsbook Sports Interaction have made the Mariners -160 moneyline favorites for Thursday's game against the Blue Jays. Current MLB Public Betting Information shows that 58% of more than 180 bets for this game have been placed on the Mariners -160.
The right-hander is 4-0 with a 1.18 ERA in his last five starts and has allowed two earned runs in 31 innings over his last four. Hernandez padded his Cy Young resume by giving up an earned run and eight hits in a 3-2 win over New York on Friday for his second complete game this season.
"It was a great game," Hernandez said.
Though Hernandez is 9-2 with a major-league leading 1.90 ERA in 17 road starts, he allowed seven runs and 11 hits in 5 2-3 innings of an 11-4 loss to Toronto on July 27.
He's 2-2 with a 4.28 ERA in five career starts versus the Blue Jays (69-83), who lost two of three at Seattle from July 27-29, but will take a three-game winning streak into this set.
Hernandez will try to help Seattle (79-73) bounce back from its second loss in seven games after falling 5-4 at Tampa Bay on Wednesday.
Ichiro Suzuki had two hits with an RBI. Batting a career-high .355, Suzuki is also hitting .355 against Toronto, and 8 for 13 versus the Blue Jays this season.
Suzuki is 2 for 3 against Toronto's Ricky Romero (12-9, 4.28), who looks to avoid losing his third consecutive start.
Romero, who could get some recognition in the AL rookie of the year race, gave up four runs in six innings for the second consecutive outing with seven hits and four walks in a 4-0 loss at Tampa Bay on Saturday.
The left-hander is 2-5 with a 5.94 ERA his last nine starts and could be wearing down late in his first full major-league season.
"I wish his last three or four starts would've been just as solid as the other ones so he'd have a chance for the Rookie of the Year," fellow pitcher Jesse Litsch told the Blue Jays' official Web site. "He's got three more starts left. So if he can push for 15 wins, that would be awesome."
Romero allowed four runs and 10 hits in six innings to earn the victory over Hernandez and the Mariners in July.
Travis Snider homered and had two RBIs in Toronto's 7-3 win over Baltimore on Wednesday to complete a three-game sweep.
Snider went 5 for 11 with five RBIs in the series and is 8 for 16 in his last five home games for the Blue Jays, who are looking for a fifth straight win at Rogers Centre.
(c) 1999-2009 TheSpread.com Inc.
|
